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Is This Pre-IPO AI Robotics Company the Next Big Defense Play?

Authored by Bridget Bennett. Article Posted: 4/30/2026.

The drones are already in the field. They're flying into earthquake rubble, operating in contested airspace across active conflict zones, and patrolling sites where placing a human would mean putting that person at risk. The technology driving them isn't a prototype—it's a deployed, battle-tested AI operating system. XTEND CEO Aviv Shapira calls it "AI at the speed of flight," and with a planned $1.5 billion Nasdaq listing on the horizon, the broader market is beginning to take notice.

An Operating System, Not Just a Drone Company

The key thing to understand about XTEND is what it actually sells: not drones, but software. It's not competing in what Shapira calls "a race to the bottom" on hardware specs. XTEND develops an AI operating system that plugs into drones and robots built by other manufacturers and makes them substantially smarter and easier to operate.

The origin story matters. XTEND began in competitive drone racing, where Shapira's team discovered the hardest part of flying a drone at 100 miles per hour through an obstacle course wasn't the hardware—it was the training time. They built software that reduced months of FPV training to roughly three minutes. The insight was simple: if you could make drones that easy to fly for sport, you could make them that easy to deploy in life-or-death situations.

That pivot from gaming to defense mirrors a path investors have seen before. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) didn't set out to power large language models; it set out to render video games. The parallel isn't lost on Shapira, and it shouldn't be lost on investors either.

5 Levels of Autonomy and a Timeline That's Moving Fast

XTEND has mapped five levels of drone autonomy and says it's already operating at levels two and three at scale, with roughly 10,000 systems deployed across more than 32 countries.

Level one is traditional manual control: one operator, one drone, hands on a controller. Level two adds AI assistance, where the drone handles the how while the operator handles the what. Level three, which XTEND calls task autonomy, removes the operator from the field entirely: a soldier or security team thousands of miles away taps a window on a screen, the drone enters a building and executes commands such as "scan for survivors" without manual piloting.

Level four, described by Shapira as AI pilots, envisions one operator directing a swarm of hundreds of drones on a complex mission with a single prompt. Level five—projected two to three years out—would have AI handle mission planning and orchestration end to end.

The Turkey earthquake deployment offers a clear real-world example. XTEND deployed indoor drones that operated without GPS or consistent communications into collapsed buildings to search for heat signatures of survivors. Humans didn't fly the drones through the rubble; they told the drones what to find.

The Partnership Roster

The company's software-first model has made it a natural integration partner for established hardware names investors may already follow.

Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) is co-developing a unified control system with XTEND, and that collaboration has deepened significantly.

In late 2025, Lockheed's Skunk Works division integrated XTEND's XOS operating system into its MDCX autonomy platform, enabling a single operator to command multiple classes of unmanned systems simultaneously in joint all-domain command-and-control scenarios. The companies also demonstrated a "marsupial" mission, where a larger "mother" drone deploys and controls a smaller drone on target.

Ondas Holdings (NASDAQ: ONDS) is another active partner, running XTEND's software on its hardware to build aerial defense systems capable of detecting and intercepting hostile UAVs—a use case that's moved from theoretical to urgent in recent conflicts.

Unusual Machines (NYSE American: UMAC), based in Orlando, supplies U.S.-made components—motors, batteries, flight controllers—that feed XTEND's production at its Tampa manufacturing facility.

Red Cat Holdings (NASDAQ: RCAT) is listed among competitive peers in the drone space, though competition and collaboration often overlap in this ecosystem. Boston Dynamics is also using XTEND's software on its platforms, expanding the company's footprint into ground robotics in addition to aerial systems.

Government Contracts and Proven Demand

The partnership roster is notable, but contract wins are where investor attention should focus. In December 2024, XTEND secured an $8.8 million DoD contract through the Irregular Warfare Technical Support Directorate to deliver its Precision Strike Indoor and Outdoor drone system—the first DoD-approved indoor/outdoor flying loitering munition platform of its kind. Then in November 2025, the company won an additional multi-million-dollar contract from the Office of the Assistant Secretary of War for Special Operations to develop and deliver next-generation AI-enabled one-way attack drone kits.

Active users of XTEND's systems now include the U.S. Department of Defense, SOCOM, the Israel Defense Forces, Singapore, and allied European defense forces. Production is scaling out of the company's Tampa headquarters, which opened in July 2025 alongside a $30 million extension to a $70 million Series B round.

The Merger and the Path to Public Markets

XTEND is currently private, but a merger with JFB Construction Holdings (NASDAQ: JFB) is in process.

The all-stock deal is valued at $1.5 billion, with the combined company to be renamed XTEND AI Robotics and expected to trade on Nasdaq under the ticker XTND. The transaction is slated to close by mid-2026, pending regulatory approvals and S-4 effectiveness.

Under the deal's terms, current XTEND shareholders would own approximately 70% of the combined company, with JFB shareholders retaining roughly 30%. Both boards have approved the merger unanimously.

What to Watch

The S-4 filing will be the first public look at XTEND's financials and business structure—a critical data point for anyone tracking the company. XTEND reports a $500 million pipeline and $71 million in backlog, with $152 million in investor commitments and $42 million already funded.

The upside case is that an AI operating system for drones and robots occupies a structurally different, potentially more defensible position than the hardware makers it partners with. If autonomy scales as Shapira describes, the software layer could become the most valuable part of the stack. The risk is execution: international expansion, a pending merger, active government contracts, and competition from well-funded rivals all need to be managed at once.

Keep an eye on that S-4—it's where the clearest picture of the company will emerge.