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Where's the Bottom, and When Will It Be Time to Sell D-Wave?

Reported by Nathan Reiff. Publication Date: 3/23/2026.

Key Points

• D-Wave Quantum shares are down about 44% since the start of the year, though the company's RSI is near 30, suggesting it may be oversold.
• At the same time, the firm's price remains significantly elevated relative to its sales, which are still quite low in absolute terms.
• Investors must try to reconcile these concerns while also trying to ascertain how much farther shares may fall in the current selloff.
• Special Report: 20+ Memecoins... 20+ Massive Winners (See the Track Record)(From Crypto 101 Media)

By many measures, quantum computing leader D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) has had an excellent start to 2026. The most striking statistic: January bookings alone exceeded the company's total bookings for all of 2025, driven primarily by a $10 million deal with a Fortune 100 company and a system sale worth about $20 million. At the same time, D-Wave's cash reserves remain substantial as the company pursues a dual-approach strategy with multiple technological paths.

Still, QBTS shares have tumbled roughly 44% so far in 2026, despite the company's encouraging headlines. Existing shareholders naturally wonder where the bottom might be, while prospective buyers may be debating whether to wait for a deeper dip. Though it's impossible to predict the exact floor for the stock, a closer look at D-Wave's operating runway helps frame the dilution risk for now.

Just How Rational Is the D-Wave Selloff?

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At first glance the selloff seems paradoxical given D-Wave's solid developments and upbeat earnings report. Yet there are reasons the market reaction can be considered rational.

D-Wave's sales have grown quickly—revenue nearly tripled year-over-year in the latest fiscal period—but in absolute terms revenue remains modest, below $25 million annually. That contrasts sharply with a market valuation approaching $6 billion, producing an extremely rich price-to-sales (P/S) multiple. The company's P/S ratio climbed to nearly 327 last year, and even after the recent decline QBTS still trades at more than 237 times sales. For many investors, that valuation disconnect helps explain the share price volatility.

Determining the Bottom Is Tricky, But D-Wave's Cash Reserves Provide Important Insulation

D-Wave's relative strength index (RSI) near 30 suggests the stock may be oversold, so recent selling could have been overdone. That said, oversold conditions don't guarantee a bottom, and precisely timing a reversal remains difficult.

What does offer reassurance is D-Wave's cash position: about $885 million at the end of the most recent quarter. Based on the company's latest burn rates, that implies at least a few years of operating runway—even if revenue growth stalls—excluding any major future acquisitions. Put differently, a collapse to zero appears unlikely in the foreseeable future, and the cash cushion reduces immediate dilution risk for shareholders.

What Signs Might Investors Watch For to Sell?

If it's hard to predict how much further QBTS could fall—especially while Wall Street maintains a Moderate Buy rating and projects roughly 132% upside—investors can monitor several warning signs that might prompt selling:

• A sustained slowdown in bookings or recurring revenue growth.
• A marked increase in cash burn without matching revenue gains, which would shorten the company's runway.
• Delays, technical setbacks, or disappointing progress with D-Wave's gate-model system, which the company is developing alongside its annealing products.
• External shocks—tariffs, supply-chain disruptions, or other macro issues—that materially affect costs or delivery timelines.

Investors must weigh competing considerations. On one hand, recent price action suggests the stock may be oversold. On the other, current valuation metrics imply lofty expectations are already priced in relative to today's sales. That divide often separates traders hoping for a near-term rebound from long-term investors who believe D-Wave will emerge as a leader in a multi-decade race toward quantum advantage.